It’s a contrarian handicapping philosophy. I look for the games where the public is convinced they are right about a point spread and I go the other way. There’s more to it than that including unique access to information about where certain sharp action is but for the most part, it’s the realization over many years that the house wins more than it loses and the house advantage comes from much more than just the built-in vig/fee advantage.
The lines used are from http://scoresandodds.com as they appeared Friday during the show. Lines change. Typically, if a line is worse for me than it was on Friday, the contrarian handicapper in me regards that as a good thing. It usually means late sharp money is with me.
To hear all of the Smell Test picks as they were discussed on Friday’s podcast, go to the 1:07:07 mark below.
https://thekevinsheehanshow.com/2018/10/19/skins-cowboys-previews-predictions-possibilities/
THIS YEAR
Last Week: 11-7
Overall: 40-30-3
SMELL TEST PICKS FOR WEEKEND OF 10-20-18
Saturday, October 20:
TCU +8
Clemson -17
Washington -17
Washington State -3
New Mexico +13.5
New Mexico State +11
**Miami (Ohio) +8
**Mississippi State +6.5
**added after Friday’s show
Sunday, October 21:
Titans +7
Browns +3.5
Bears +3
Bengals +6
