WHAT’S THE FRIDAY FOOTBALL SMELL TEST?
It’s a contrarian handicapping philosophy. I look for the games where the public is convinced they are right about a point spread and I go the other way. There’s more to it than that including unique access to information about where certain sharp action is but for the most part, it’s the realization over many years that the house wins more than it loses and the house advantage comes from more than just the built-in vig/fee advantage.
The lines used are from covers.com as they appeared Friday during the show. Lines change. Typically, if a line is worse for me than it was on Friday, the contrarian handicapper in me regards that as a good thing. It usually means late sharp money is with me.
To hear how all four of the weekend NFL Playoff games were discussed on Friday’s podcast, go to the 1:24:05 mark below.
https://thekevinsheehanshow.com/2019/02/01/bruce-allen-again-cooley-kevin-super-bowl-preview/
THIS YEAR
Last Week: 1-1
Overall: 109-86-4
SMELL TEST PICKS FOR WEEKEND OF 2-3-19
Sunday, February 3:
Patriots/Rams Under-56.5
It’s a bulldozer, it’s a bulldozer, it’s a bulldozer!