It’s a contrarian handicapping philosophy. I look for the games where the public is convinced they are right about a point spread and I go the other way.  There’s more to it than that including unique access to information about where certain sharp action is but for the most part, it’s the realization over many years that the house wins more than it loses and the house advantage comes from much more than just the built-in vig/fee advantage.

The lines used are from http://scoresandodds.com as they appeared Friday during the show.  Lines change.  Typically, if a line is worse for me than it was on Friday, the contrarian handicapper in me regards that as a good thing.  It usually means late sharp money is with me.

To hear all of the Smell Test picks as they were discussed on Friday’s podcast, go to the 40:57 mark below.

https://thekevinsheehanshow.com/2018/10/26/redskins-giants-trap-game-or-not/

THIS YEAR

Last Week: 5-7

Overall: 45-37-3

SMELL TEST PICKS FOR WEEKEND OF 10-27-18  

Saturday, October 27:

Northwestern +4.5

SMU +8.5

Missouri -7

Western Kentucky +3.5

Mississippi State -1.5

UTEP +16

Sunday, October 28:

Jaguars +3

Ravens -2

Bucs +4

Rams -9.5

Monday, October 29:

Bills +14

Kevin takes a look at the Redskins/Giants game and asks the question everyone seems to be asking: is this a trap game for the Redskins? He breaks everything down with what the Redskins need to do to win. Chris Russell then calls in to help preview of Sunday’s game. Kevin goes through all of NFL Week 8 and the college football games you need to pay attention to (including everything that’s going on at Maryland) in his Friday Football Quick Picks, before giving his bets in the Smell Test. He wraps up the show with Andy Pollin giving his historical takes on Redskins/Giants, and then Kevin, Andy and Bram Weinstein all give their predictions.

It’s a Sports Fix Thursday and Thom is in. Kevin and Thom open the show by talking about the Wizards loss to Steph Curry and the Warriors, as well as the World Series. Adam Schefter then joins to talk about the state of the Redskins and the rest of the NFL. After Schefter, Scott Van Pelt calls in to talk about his segment on SportsCenter Wednesday night, the Redskins, college football and more. They wrap it up with a look at the potential ramifications of Redskins/Giants and NFL Power Polls.

Kevin recaps the Redskins 20-17 win over the Cowboys. He touches on the solid, tried-and-true NFL winning formula the Redskins executed for the second straight week. He doesn’t ignore the flaws, including Alex Smith’s struggles at QB. He invites JP Finlay in to discuss the big win, goes around the NFL, discusses the Wizards loss on Saturday night and the key college football games from Saturday.