WHAT’S THE FRIDAY FOOTBALL SMELL TEST? 

It’s a contrarian handicapping philosophy. I look for the games where the public is convinced they are right about a point spread and I go the other way.  There’s more to it than that including unique access to information about where certain sharp action is but for the most part, it’s the realization over many years that the house wins more than it loses and the house advantage comes from more than just the built-in vig/fee advantage.

The lines used are from covers.com as they appeared Friday during the show.  Lines change.  Typically, if a line is worse for me than it was on Friday, the contrarian handicapper in me regards that as a good thing.  It usually means late sharp money is with me.

To hear how all four of the weekend NFL Playoff games were discussed on Friday’s podcast, go to the 1:24:05 mark below.

https://thekevinsheehanshow.com/2019/02/01/bruce-allen-again-cooley-kevin-super-bowl-preview/

THIS YEAR

Last Week: 1-1

Overall: 109-86-4

SMELL TEST PICKS FOR WEEKEND OF 2-3-19  

Sunday, February 3:

Patriots/Rams Under-56.5

Kevin opens the show with a reaction to Josh Norman saying the Redskins would have won the Super Bowl if Alex Smith didn’t get hurt. Bruce Allen spoke again…Kevin reacted to some of that and the Ted Leonsis interview yesterday where he said the Wizards won’t be trading Wall, Beal, or Porter. Chris Cooley joined the show and talked Skins and Super Bowl. Kevin had a Super Bowl Smell Test and a Super Bowl pick with Andy Pollin.

Kevin opens the show with a brief recap of the Wizards impressive win over Indiana and then he gets to the Rob Ryan hire by the Redskins. He talks about trading up in the draft for a quarterback and whether or not the Redskins should do it. Thom joined the show. They talked Skins, Maryland investigation cost, Goodell press conference, NFL Hall of Fame, and Bryce Harper. Kevin finished up the show with memories of the Redskins Super Bowl 22 win 31 years ago today.

Kevin has the following news on Alex Smith to start the show–The Redskins won’t use the “nuclear” option (cutting Smith and absorbing all of the cap hit in ’19) on Alex Smith. They will consider restructuring his deal to push some of Smith’s cap hit out into the future. Kevin has lots more on this situation. Thom joins the show with a Washington Post beef. Kevin and Thom discuss sports gambling, Bryce Harper, and Bradley Beal/1st rounder to New Orleans for Anthony Davis. Kevin finishes up with a Maryland-Northwestern pick.