WHAT’S THE FRIDAY FOOTBALL SMELL TEST? 

It’s a contrarian handicapping philosophy. I look for the games where the public is convinced they are right about a point spread and I go the other way.  There’s more to it than that including unique access to information about where certain sharp action is but for the most part, it’s the realization over many years that the house wins more than it loses and the house advantage comes from much more than just the built-in vig/fee advantage.

The lines used are from covers.com as they appeared Friday during the show.  Lines change.  Typically, if a line is worse for me than it was on Friday, the contrarian handicapper in me regards that as a good thing.  It usually means late sharp money is with me.

To hear all of the Smell Test picks as they were discussed on Friday’s podcast, go to the 1:16:18 mark below.

https://thekevinsheehanshow.com/2018/11/16/redskins-texans-preview-ross-tucker-and-svp-too/

THIS YEAR

Last Week: 5-6

Overall: 59-58-3

SMELL TEST PICKS FOR WEEKEND OF 11-17-18  

Saturday, November 17:

Maryland +14.5

Notre Dame -10

Kansas State +6.5

Florida State +1.5

Sunday, November 18:

Lions +4.5

Jags +5.5

Broncos +7

Monday, November 19:

Rams -3.5

Most people agree that the Redskins’ fan base has eroded over the years and most also agree on the primary reasons for it. Thom and Kevin discuss what’s next. What if the Redskins turn into a perennial contender….will those that have left, come back? Thom and Kevin also talk about the Wizards, Jacob deGrom winning the Cy Young and the latest in the Maryland saga. Plus, NFL Power Poll and some follow up to the Skins’ name discussion from yesterday.

Cooley calls in and thinks Alex Smith just played one of his best games. He thinks the Smith and the offense are getting better. Plenty of Tampa recap and Houston preview along with conversation about Norman and Swearinger comments. ESPN’s Tim Legler is a huge Skins’ fan….he joined the show and talked about his confidence level in their 6-3 record. His thoughts on the Wizards, Warriors, and the East as well.

Kevin recaps the Redskins 16-3 win in Tampa in great detail. He brings in JP Finlay/NBC Sports Washington to talk about the game and Josh Norman’s comments. He goes “Around the NFL” recapping Dallas’ win in Philadelphia and the rest of Sunday’s games. He finishes up the show looking back at Maryland’s loss at Indiana on Saturday along with some discussion on the bigger college games of the day as well. He also spends some time on the Wizards and the Jimmy Butler trade.